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Statistical settings

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Test Settings: confidence level 95%, traffic percentage 100, minimum sample size 100, minimum duration 7 days; Pro statistical engine and optimization strategy, audience targeting and test schedule
Step 5 – Settings.
SettingDefaultMeaning
Confidence level95% (recommended)How sure the result must be before a winner is declared
Traffic percentage100Share of visitors included in the test
Minimum sample size100Impressions per variant before significance is judged
Minimum duration7 daysCovers weekday/weekend differences

Pro: engine and strategy #

ChoiceWhat it does
Frequentist (p-value / CI)Classic test: a p-value after the minimum sample
Bayesian“Probability to beat control”, updated in real time
ManualTraffic split stays even; you apply the winner
Auto-winnerChecks hourly and declares the winner when criteria are met
BanditGradually sends more traffic to the leading variant

Advice #

  • Do not stop a test the first day it looks good – wait for the minimum duration and sample.
  • A bandit earns more during the test but gives a less precise final answer.
  • Low traffic? Raise the expected effect (test bolder changes) rather than lowering the confidence.

How long will my test take? #

Visitors per day on the pageCurrent conversionDetectable improvement in ~3 weeks
1005%Only very big changes (50%+)
5005%About +20%
2,0005%About +10%

Figures are rough orders of magnitude for two variants at 95% confidence.

Expected result #

Results show a verdict only once your thresholds are met.

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